After watching the
models over the last few days continue to trend the track of the low further and further south, I am finally starting to believe the
NWS forecast for Saturday. The complications in the forecast stem from the model's inability to handle the snow cover and depth over the Midwest (which is why our high temperatures have been so poorly forecast). The track of the low should be close to where the snow cover line resides. We'll see if it takes the track shown in the image below.
The end result is that the potential for a white Christmas goes up everyday.

So far in December we (in C-U) are at 7.8" according to the
ISWS. This is very typical of a La Nina year.
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